Before you type a return %
Choosing a Sensible Return Assumption in June 2026
Data as of —
Every projection on this site is only as honest as the return you assume. Some grounding, from our research desk's data file: the Nifty 50 closed at 23,161.60 on June 11, 2026 (per Trading Economics) and the BSE Sensex at 73,832.55, with the Sensex reported down roughly 9.6% year-over-year amid foreign-fund outflows and Middle East tensions. Several index heavyweights are sharply negative over one year — TCS −38%, ITC −34%, Infosys −28%, HDFC Bank −24% — while SBI (+23%) and Eicher Motors (+34%) gained. That spread inside a single year is exactly why a flat assumed rate is a planning device, not a forecast.
Practical guidance for the calculators:
- Equity (index funds, diversified large-cap): 10–12% is a common long-horizon planning band; run the same plan at 8% to see how sensitive your goal is.
- Hybrid / conservative allocations: 8–10% is more defensible than equity-level assumptions.
- Debt funds, FDs: use the actual quoted yield (typically 6–7.5% in mid-2026) rather than an equity-style number.
- Short horizons (<5 years): treat any equity projection with suspicion — the current correction shows one-year outcomes can be deeply negative.
All market figures above are approximate as of the June 10–11, 2026 close, aggregated from public sources (Trading Economics, screener.in, Business Upturn and others), and should be re-verified before any decision. This is research aggregation, not investment advice.